Supply and production
Output decisions by major producing countries and companies set the baseline for how much crude reaches the market in any given month.
Learn
Everything on this site in plain English: what the benchmarks are, how published prices differ from futures headlines, and the fundamentals that move the market.
A benchmark is a reference crude that the rest of the market prices against. Two matter most: WTI for U.S. barrels and Brent for most international trade. Thousands of individual crude grades trade at premiums or discounts to these two references.
This site shows published spot prices from the U.S. Energy Information Administration: the official record of what each benchmark sold for on a trading day. Futures prices in news headlines move continuously and can differ from the published spot figure.
Fundamentals
Output decisions by major producing countries and companies set the baseline for how much crude reaches the market in any given month.
Economic activity, industrial output, and transportation fuel consumption determine how much crude the world actually needs.
Weekly storage levels act as the market's buffer. Rising inventories tend to ease prices; drawdowns tend to support them.
Crude only matters once it is refined. Maintenance seasons and outages change how much crude refiners can absorb.
Pipeline capacity, shipping rates, and chokepoints influence how easily crude moves from wells to refiners.
Conflicts, sanctions, and policy shifts in producing regions can remove supply from the market with little warning.
Reference